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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +365.82₴

Invest 455.63₴

Average return 821.45₴

ROI +80.3%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 1 069.72 ₴, profit at most −248.26 ₴

float premium: at least 649 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +600.41 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0013

209.22 ₴

at 34.87

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0875

108.97 ₴

at 54.48

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0918

137.44 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 455.63 ₴ +365.82 (+80.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0025

244.09 ₴

at 34.87

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0875

108.97 ₴

at 54.48

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0875

68.72 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 421.78 ₴ +318.23 (+75.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

about break-even

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

527.99 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

600.47 ₴ 20.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

581.70 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

416.08 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

4 062.83 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 308.44 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239.05 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +188.91 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +277.31 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3131624 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 358.61₴ · invest 450.14₴
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074200 instead of 0.087588; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074200 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3122118 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 335.90₴ · invest 398.23₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074276 instead of 0.087588; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074276 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3122119 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 326.36₴ · invest 398.23₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074353 instead of 0.087588; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074353 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3122120 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 305.13₴ · invest 359.31₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear), M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074577 instead of 0.087588; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074577 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3131266 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 295.72₴ · invest 391.18₴
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.087588; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3122861 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 279.06₴ · invest 418.15₴
rare inputs

Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074025 instead of 0.087588; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074025 instead of 0.091827

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build