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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −285.32₴

Invest at least 1 021.56₴

Average return 736.25₴

ROI −27.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 021.56 ₴, profit at most −285.32 ₴

float premium: at least 644 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +590.27 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0013

209.22 ₴

at 34.87

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1794

87.18 ₴

at 43.59

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0918

137.44 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 433.85 ₴ +302.40 (+69.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

48.15 ₴

at 24.08

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0029

244.09 ₴

at 34.87

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1753

43.59 ₴

at 43.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 335.83 ₴ +126.14 (+37.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0025

244.09 ₴

at 34.87

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1753

43.59 ₴

at 43.59

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0875

108.97 ₴

at 54.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 396.65 ₴ +248.17 (+62.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

527.99 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.021874

600.47 ₴ 20.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

149.91 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

416.08 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 062.83 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 308.44 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

122.75 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +156.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +231.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3107877 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 383.10₴ · invest 465.60₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3125753 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 374.48₴ · invest 434.17₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163348 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074642 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3129897 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 364.74₴ · invest 393.41₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3129898 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 344.37₴ · invest 393.41₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3108984 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 342.64₴ · invest 406.34₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166624 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075782 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3108985 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 339.51₴ · invest 381.20₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165057 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075237 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3123527 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 332.96₴ · invest 381.01₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3129896 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 329.83₴ · invest 349.73₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3133648 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 327.73₴ · invest 393.06₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3132671 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 324.24₴ · invest 389.22₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3130399 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 318.53₴ · invest 422.90₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169572 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076807 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3133955 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 316.03₴ · invest 394.28₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162899 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3133646 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 315.54₴ · invest 388.89₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164991 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3133954 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 312.99₴ · invest 418.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162568 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3131267 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 305.46₴ · invest 421.12₴
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162727 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074427 instead of 0.091827
Craft 3107878 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 302.23₴ · invest 397.63₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.179489; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.091827

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build