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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −112.04₸

Invest at least 424.77₸

Average return 312.73₸

ROI −26.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 424.77 ₸, profit at most −112.04 ₸

float premium: at least 191 ₸

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +254.17 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1735

65.22 ₸

at 21.74

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

27.09 ₸

at 27.09

souvenirSteam

×6

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0028

87.18 ₸

at 14.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.50 ₸ +133.23 (+74.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1735

65.22 ₸

at 21.74

souvenirSteam

×2

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

27.20 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

72.65 ₸

at 14.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.08 ₸ +87.07 (+52.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

43.48 ₸

at 21.74

souvenirSteam

×6

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

81.61 ₸

at 13.60

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

29.06 ₸

at 14.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.15 ₸ +37.47 (+24.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1570

43.48 ₸

at 21.74

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

81.28 ₸

at 27.09

souvenirSteam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0021

72.65 ₸

at 14.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.42 ₸ +175.84 (+89.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Picnic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

66.04 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

115.10 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

72.21 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

79.53 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

72.38 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

646.27 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

705.70 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

1 149.04 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.050615

608.91 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +72.00 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +102.42 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build