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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −8.60$

Invest at least 20.56$

Average return 11.95$

ROI −41.9%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 20.56 $, profit at most −8.60 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.02 $

at 3.02

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.48 $

at 0.58

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.35 $

at 0.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.84 $ +3.11 (+35.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

18.12 $

at 3.02

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

11.54 $

at 3.85

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

0.58 $

at 0.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.24 $ +0.57 (+1.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

15.10 $

at 3.02

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

7.70 $

at 3.85

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.58 $

at 0.58

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.56 $

at 0.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.94 $ +1.16 (+4.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

8.79 $

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

7.70 $

at 3.85

souvenirSteam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.32 $

at 0.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.78 $

at 0.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.59 $ +1.80 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.04 $

at 3.02

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3.85 $

at 3.85

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.48 $

at 0.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.78 $

at 0.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.15 $ +2.52 (+17.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

10.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

6.22 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.88 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

36.43 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130850

38.72 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.035425

39.29 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.36 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3125341 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.89$ · invest 7.26$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075369 instead of 0.074481; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075369 instead of 0.074481

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build