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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +390.61₽

Invest 479.43₽

Average return 870.03₽

ROI +81.5%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 118.97 ₽, profit at most −248.94 ₽

float premium: at least 636 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 074.61 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

193.34 ₽

at 27.62

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

159.98 ₽

at 79.99

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

126.11 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 479.43 ₽ +390.61 (+81.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

55.24 ₽

at 27.62

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

199.96 ₽

at 99.98

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

756.66 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 011.86 ₽ +953.94 (+94.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

138.10 ₽

at 27.62

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

66.70 ₽

at 66.70

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

504.44 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 709.24 ₽ +599.10 (+84.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

260.68 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

184.66 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

372.35 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

188.46 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

216.15 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

763.54 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7 455.61 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 401.09 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

438.67 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +205.82 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +308.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3127776 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 498.38₽ · invest 491.32₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161588 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3121082 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 497.78₽ · invest 500.82₽
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163330 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074636 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3130398 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 496.67₽ · invest 737.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3114262 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 496.44₽ · invest 533.38₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162630 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074393 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3133647 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 468.43₽ · invest 587.20₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3131956 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 466.56₽ · invest 535.98₽
rare inputs

Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161538 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3110933 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 458.63₽ · invest 465.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161719 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074076 instead of 0.074115
Craft 3130400 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 448.72₽ · invest 678.29₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162503 instead of 0.161830; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074115

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build