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The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −144.35₴

Invest at least 391.17₴

Average return 246.82₴

ROI −36.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 391.17 ₴, profit at most −144.35 ₴

float premium: at least 214 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +91.96 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×7

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

72.67 ₴

at 10.38

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

19.68 ₴

at 19.68

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

73.92 ₴

at 36.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.27 ₴ +80.56 (+48.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×4

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

41.52 ₴

at 10.38

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

59.05 ₴

at 19.68

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

110.87 ₴

at 36.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 211.45 ₴ +72.10 (+34.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

10.38 ₴

at 10.38

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

98.42 ₴

at 19.68

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

147.83 ₴

at 36.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.63 ₴ +63.63 (+24.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 86%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 14%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

396.05 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

368.70 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

267.01 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194.05 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339.12 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207.10 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200.82 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.38 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3115881 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 82.79₴ · invest 100.55₴
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074634 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3105893 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 78.27₴ · invest 117.04₴
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079703 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3116468 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 78.05₴ · invest 104.81₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074830 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3116436 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 77.24₴ · invest 108.53₴
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3116345 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 72.07₴ · invest 180.35₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075925 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3116344 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 70.84₴ · invest 150.40₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080368 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3116226 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 68.42₴ · invest 94.82₴
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074408 instead of 0.079927
Craft 3116074 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 65.40₴ · invest 142.61₴
rare inputs

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078973 instead of 0.079927

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build