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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −24.79$

Invest at least 83.06$

Average return 58.27$

ROI −29.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 83.06 $, profit at most −24.79 $

float premium: at least 47 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

6.41 $

at 6.41

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

17.63 $

at 2.52

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

10.97 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.02 $ +23.25 (+66.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

12.82 $

at 6.41

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

17.63 $

at 2.52

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

5.49 $

at 5.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.94 $ +21.95 (+61.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

3.76 $

at 3.76

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

19.23 $

at 6.41

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

15.11 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.10 $ +19.03 (+50.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

15.03 $

at 3.76

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

25.64 $

at 6.41

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

5.04 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.71 $ +9.91 (+21.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

12.06 $

at 4.02

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

19.23 $

at 6.41

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

10.07 $

at 2.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.37 $ +15.01 (+36.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126.51 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.64 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

29.18 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

81.60 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

44.60 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 only The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.29 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3126771 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.88$ · invest 37.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007821
Craft 3131475 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23.96$ · invest 34.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.007821
Craft 3133252 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 23.70$ · invest 34.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007821
Craft 3124673 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 23.34$ · invest 36.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077711 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006747 instead of 0.007821
Craft 3113050 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.56$ · invest 34.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007821
Craft 3132457 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.41$ · invest 33.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007821

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build