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The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.00$

Invest 3.10$

Average return 5.10$

ROI +64.5%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 7.33 $, profit at most −2.23 $

float premium: at least 4 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.15 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

0.37 $

at 0.18

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1.91 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.23 $

at 0.23

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.59 $

at 0.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.10 $ +2.00 (+64.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 14%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.26 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

1.44 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1.46 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.43 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1.68 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.94 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

16.88 $ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) × 2 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.37 → 0.81 $

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 1.91 → 4.72 $

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.23 → 0.50 $

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.59 → 1.31 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.045499, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.048999, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.125799

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build