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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5 744.77₸

Invest 6 308.56₸

Average return 12 053.34₸

ROI +91.1%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 15 561.75 ₸, profit at most −3 508.42 ₸

float premium: at least 9 304 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1 092.29 ₸

at 546.14

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4 822.15 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

394.12 ₸

at 394.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 308.56 ₸ +5 744.77 (+91.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −477 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2 066.64 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

788.24 ₸

at 394.12

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2 783.16 ₸

at 556.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 638.04 ₸ +1 460.68 (+25.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

546.14 ₸

at 546.14

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

4 822.15 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

788.24 ₸

at 394.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 156.54 ₸ +5 071.03 (+82.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

4 133.27 ₸

at 688.88

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1 182.36 ₸

at 394.12

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

556.63 ₸

at 556.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 872.27 ₸ +3 703.76 (+63.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 170.86 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 726.46 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 116.02 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 230.43 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 318.95 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.053374

5 469.14 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 601.15 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.039374

2 601.09 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 583.01 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 238.73 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 609.17 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3125352 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 854.30₸ · invest 6 421.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.075716
Craft 3098429 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 852.02₸ · invest 7 239.65₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Minimal Wear) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076106 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076106 instead of 0.075716
Craft 3124837 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 816.10₸ · invest 6 299.66₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)
Craft 3128875 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 775.75₸ · invest 6 333.69₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Vandal (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)
Craft 3105777 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 694.52₸ · invest 6 049.36₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.075716
Craft 3126920 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 674.93₸ · invest 6 569.89₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074687 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074687 instead of 0.075716
Craft 3129525 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 665.59₸ · invest 6 372.20₸
rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.075716
Craft 3102992 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 660.26₸ · invest 6 425.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested)
Craft 3133449 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 571.36₸ · invest 6 270.60₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.075716
Craft 3134374 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 5 399.50₸ · invest 6 942.49₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.075716; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.075716

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build