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The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.05$

Invest 16.57$

Average return 20.62$

ROI +24.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 40.77 $, profit at most −20.15 $

float premium: at least 23 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

2.38 $

at 1.19

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

12.46 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.73 $

at 1.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.57 $ +4.05 (+24.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.48 $

at 1.48

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

12.46 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

1.14 $

at 1.14

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.73 $

at 1.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.80 $ +2.91 (+17.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.48 $

at 1.48

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

10.68 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.14 $

at 1.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

3.45 $

at 1.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.75 $ +2.06 (+12.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.48 $

at 1.48

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

8.90 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

1.14 $

at 1.14

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

5.18 $

at 1.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.69 $ +1.21 (+7.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.48 $

at 1.48

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

7.12 $

at 1.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

1.14 $

at 1.14

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

6.90 $

at 1.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.64 $ +0.37 (+2.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

9.28 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30.31 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

53.30 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

6.12 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089374

12.84 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

15.27 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

15.42 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

13.89 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build