The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +166.58$

Invest 1 129.37$

Average return 1 295.95$

ROI +14.8%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 2 789.53 $, profit at most −1 493.59 $

float premium: at least 1 614 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −929.29 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×5

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

1 129.37 $

at 225.87

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 129.37 $ +166.58 (+14.8%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 15%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 866.00 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

1 195.00 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

998.63 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 285.10 $ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 304.22 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700.17 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

893.99 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 413.23 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 375.86 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

940.00 $ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 705.99 $ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → a knife or gloves

Variant 2 Restricted → Classified

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +128.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +166.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build