The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +570 939.88₸

Invest 686 288.37₸

Average return 1 257 228.24₸

ROI +83.2%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 1 541 828.27 ₸, profit at most −284 600.03 ₸

float premium: at least 849 424 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +685 994.97 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −507 859.18 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

502 619.58 ₸

at 167 539.86

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

183 668.79 ₸

at 91 834.39

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 686 288.37 ₸ +570 939.88 (+83.2%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 10%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

608 013.27 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 212.98 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

521 766.77 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 275.91 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 465 196.58 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 307.80 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 065 760.45 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

545 206.14 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

672 544.27 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

852 641.38 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761 516.08 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

467 058.81 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 913 711.76 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 253 258.59 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 575 597.98 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 266 070.65 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 679 818.20 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

546 252.54 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

257 852.17 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 588.33 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158 540.51 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

600 074.09 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

922 390.02 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775 726.35 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.82%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

688 278.20 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 733.29 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 844.14 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

789 247.36 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

791 576.90 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

668 543.24 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

632 809.15 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 648.69 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 012 866.92 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

642 837.31 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 795.58 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

727 943.13 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

785 545.89 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389 003.48 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332 457.76 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

610 696.41 ₸ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 878 746.68 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 570.71 ₸ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Chroma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +553 271.50 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +568 988.88 ₸ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3135631 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 570 939.86₸ · invest 686 288.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3135087 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 510 769.82₸ · invest 706 957.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3135088 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 510 769.82₸ · invest 706 957.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136005 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 472 444.07₸ · invest 610 238.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136006 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 472 444.07₸ · invest 610 238.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136023 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 469 720.56₸ · invest 612 962.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136024 · The Glove Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 469 720.56₸ · invest 612 962.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136025 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 454 014.71₸ · invest 628 668.01₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136026 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 454 014.71₸ · invest 628 668.01₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136021 · The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 451 981.12₸ · invest 587 670.77₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007404 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136022 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 451 981.12₸ · invest 587 670.77₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007404 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3135997 · The Prisma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 450 613.76₸ · invest 586 024.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3135998 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 450 613.76₸ · invest 586 024.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3135009 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 440 459.89₸ · invest 642 222.83₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3135010 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 440 459.89₸ · invest 642 222.83₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3134929 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 437 366.90₸ · invest 645 315.82₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3134930 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 437 366.90₸ · invest 645 315.82₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3136009 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 432 018.05₸ · invest 601 324.03₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3136010 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 432 018.05₸ · invest 601 324.03₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build