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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +8.10$

Invest 22.47$

Average return 30.57$

ROI +36.0%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 54.72 $, profit at most −24.15 $

float premium: at least 31 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

3.63 $

at 3.63

Steam

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

14.39 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.47 $ +8.10 (+36.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

10.89 $

at 3.63

Steam

×6

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

10.79 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.13 $ +4.56 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

14.52 $

at 3.63

Steam

×5

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

9.00 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.96 $ +2.79 (+10.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

18.15 $

at 3.63

Steam

×4

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

7.20 $

at 1.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.79 $ +1.02 (+3.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59.46 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.79 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.08 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

SG 553 | Integrale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59.50 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build