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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −104.50₴

Invest at least 578.69₴

Average return 474.19₴

ROI −18.1%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 578.69 ₴, profit at most −104.50 ₴

float premium: at least 333 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +240.55 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0023

99.44 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×1

Negev | Dazzle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1593

19.18 ₴

at 19.18

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0839

124.51 ₴

at 20.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 243.13 ₴ +231.05 (+95.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

265.18 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

19.17 ₴

at 19.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 309.10 ₴ +176.29 (+57.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0034

198.89 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×1

Negev | Dazzle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1614

19.18 ₴

at 19.18

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

41.50 ₴

at 20.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 284.32 ₴ +197.33 (+69.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

165.74 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×2

Negev | Dazzle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

38.37 ₴

at 19.18

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0809

62.25 ₴

at 20.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.36 ₴ +211.56 (+79.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0032

232.03 ₴

at 33.15

Steam

×2

Negev | Dazzle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

38.37 ₴

at 19.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 295.15 ₴ +188.38 (+63.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 14%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

289.05 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 967.87 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

88.84 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189.39 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.18 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

524.07 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

577.97 ₴ 10.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

579.00 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +134.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +199.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3156880 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 213.87₴ · invest 206.32₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164642 instead of 0.159315; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075093 instead of 0.083979
Craft 3170771 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 211.86₴ · invest 207.43₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162458 instead of 0.159315; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074333 instead of 0.083979
Craft 3159943 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 203.42₴ · invest 204.26₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161611 instead of 0.159315; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074038 instead of 0.083979
Craft 3170903 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 192.32₴ · invest 212.54₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161514 instead of 0.159315; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074005 instead of 0.083979

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build