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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +441.26₽

Invest 702.57₽

Average return 1 143.83₽

ROI +62.8%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 1 692.08 ₽, profit at most −548.26 ₽

float premium: at least 1 001 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 013.68 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0025

421.89 ₽

at 60.27

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1766

80.78 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0871

199.90 ₽

at 99.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 702.57 ₽ +441.26 (+62.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

45.00 ₽

at 45.00

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0030

482.16 ₽

at 60.27

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

64.81 ₽

at 64.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 591.97 ₽ +229.86 (+38.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

952.88 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.021874

1 050.88 ₽ 23.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

276.12 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

737.92 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 150.71 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 362.15 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

194.94 ₽ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +219.49 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +328.95 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3180836 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 532.11₽ · invest 551.87₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163365 instead of 0.176648; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.087167
Craft 3181793 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 486.25₽ · invest 525.34₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163365 instead of 0.176648; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.087167
Craft 3157530 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 447.17₽ · invest 538.01₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164611 instead of 0.176648; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075082 instead of 0.087167
Craft 3179060 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 414.83₽ · invest 512.25₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164425 instead of 0.176648; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075017 instead of 0.087167
Craft 3171637 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 401.56₽ · invest 542.91₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163365 instead of 0.176648; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.087167

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build