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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.50$

Invest 14.61$

Average return 21.11$

ROI +44.5%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 35.47 $, profit at most −14.36 $

float premium: at least 21 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0813

2.10 $

at 0.52

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

11.22 $

at 2.24

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | VariCamo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1.29 $

at 1.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.61 $ +6.50 (+44.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

12.82 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

53.89 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.54 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

2.02 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.10 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3144890 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 6.87$ · invest 14.97$
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.001328 instead of 0.004248
Craft 3144574 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 6.46$ · invest 16.69$
rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074828 instead of 0.081304; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004225 instead of 0.004248
Craft 3145238 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 6.43$ · invest 16.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003630 instead of 0.004248

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build