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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +29.67$

Invest 35.98$

Average return 65.64$

ROI +82.5%

Chance of profit 65%

With float: invest at least 86.06 $, profit at most −20.42 $

float premium: at least 50 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +32.11 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1.69 $

at 1.69

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

12.59 $

at 2.52

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

21.69 $

at 5.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.98 $ +29.67 (+82.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −46 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

41.64 $

at 5.95

Steam

×1

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

10.41 $

at 10.41

souvenirSteam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

10.85 $

at 5.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.90 $ +27.65 (+44.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −55 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

41.64 $

at 5.95

Steam

×2

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

20.83 $

at 10.41

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

5.42 $

at 5.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.89 $ +26.21 (+38.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1.69 $

at 1.69

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

29.74 $

at 5.95

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

21.69 $

at 5.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.13 $ +30.31 (+57.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

138.33 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.68 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

29.19 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

203.30 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

21.33 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.92 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3176930 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 32.42$ · invest 38.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075042 instead of 0.076526; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.004412 instead of 0.005710

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build