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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.10$

Invest 1.27$

Average return 1.37$

ROI +7.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 1.52 $, profit −0.15 $

float premium: 0 $ (1.0%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.55 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈40% of lots fit ≈ enough for 205 contracts · easy (estimate)

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

0.66 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

0.58 $

at 0.15

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0568

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.27 $ +0.10 (+7.6%)

≈45% of lots fit ≈ enough for 227 contracts · easy (estimate)

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0578

0.52 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0578

0.58 $

at 0.15

souvenirSteam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0578

0.07 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.18 $ +0.06 (+4.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1609

0.13 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

0.06 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

0.18 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.41 $ +0.29 (+71.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 22%

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

1.40 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

1.56 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

2.62 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.050615

1.34 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Picnic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

0.16 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.28 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

0.16 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

0.18 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

0.17 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3146168 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 0.10$ · invest 1.27$
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.056689 instead of 0.056861; Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.056689 instead of 0.056861

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build