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The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −31.72$

Invest at least 85.57$

Average return 53.85$

ROI −37.1%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 85.57 $, profit at most −31.72 $

float premium: at least 47 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

5.15 $

at 5.15

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

24.48 $

at 3.06

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

5.11 $

at 5.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.74 $ +19.11 (+55.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

38.46 $

at 7.69

Steam

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

9.82 $

at 9.82

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

12.24 $

at 3.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.51 $ +1.61 (+2.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

5.15 $

at 5.15

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

7.69 $

at 7.69

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

21.42 $

at 3.06

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

5.11 $

at 5.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.37 $ +16.13 (+41.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

10.30 $

at 5.15

Steam

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

29.45 $

at 9.82

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

15.30 $

at 3.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.05 $ +5.42 (+9.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

155.80 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

11.29 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

12.98 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

73.54 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.051666

77.36 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

86.28 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 only The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3177465 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.19$ · invest 33.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163524 instead of 0.165703; USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): float at most 0.004116 instead of 0.004779
Craft 3178372 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 20.14$ · invest 32.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163524 instead of 0.165703; USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): float at most 0.004116 instead of 0.004779
Craft 3178649 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 20.01$ · invest 32.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163723 instead of 0.165703; USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.004779

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build