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The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −637.78₴

Invest at least 1 371.19₴

Average return 733.41₴

ROI −46.5%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 1 371.19 ₴, profit at most −637.78 ₴

float premium: at least 779 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +173.78 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1847

307.99 ₴

at 77.00

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0020

261.35 ₴

at 87.12

souvenirSteam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0020

23.07 ₴

at 7.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 592.41 ₴ +140.99 (+23.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

best

AUG | Carved Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.021212

2 119.63 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116969

490.08 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Dusk Ruins

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

1 683.34 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Factory New

float up to 0.068939

439.75 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.068939

110.48 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074242

35.74 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36.73 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074242

19.39 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 only The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Control Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.13 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +75.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3144527 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 147.86₴ · invest 537.40₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181362 instead of 0.184725; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002801 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3144526 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 143.41₴ · invest 603.14₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002406 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3150511 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 141.83₴ · invest 585.73₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002463 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3149895 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 140.27₴ · invest 590.20₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002463 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3149944 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 140.19₴ · invest 589.36₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002437 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3148902 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 136.77₴ · invest 590.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002463 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3150135 · The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 126.01₴ · invest 669.60₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Tec-9 | Blast From the Past: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181362 instead of 0.184725; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.002907 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3150512 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 124.01₴ · invest 504.07₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.001880 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3149946 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 122.70₴ · invest 514.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181362 instead of 0.184725; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.001757 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3149945 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 121.57₴ · invest 508.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.001771 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3149897 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 114.40₴ · invest 586.00₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Tec-9 | Blast From the Past: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.001676 instead of 0.002079
Craft 3148905 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 111.25₴ · invest 585.44₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Snow Splash (Minimal Wear), FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Tec-9 | Blast From the Past: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): float at most 0.001676 instead of 0.002079

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build