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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +36.91$

Invest 27.14$

Average return 64.06$

ROI +136.0%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 68.85 $, profit at most −4.79 $

float premium: at least 41 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0827

5.41 $

at 5.41

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

21.74 $

at 2.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.14 $ +36.91 (+136.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

11.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.18 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin

Factory New

float up to 0.002127

12.91 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

36.54 $ 2.50%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Hypnotic

Factory New

float up to 0.000851

14.27 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

float up to 0.001276

8.34 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3177385 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 38.71$ · invest 28.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007341 instead of 0.006276
Craft 3182402 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 37.61$ · invest 26.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006003 instead of 0.006276

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build