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The Boreal Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −9.37$

Invest at least 22.11$

Average return 12.73$

ROI −42.4%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 22.11 $, profit at most −9.37 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.96 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

0.83 $

at 0.83

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.85 $

at 1.85

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

6.30 $

at 0.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.98 $ +3.75 (+41.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

14.82 $

at 1.85

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

3.66 $

at 3.66

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1.62 $

at 1.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.10 $ +5.78 (+28.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.58 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.068133

12.91 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

6.48 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Green Energy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31.92 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.91 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3154587 · The Boreal Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 3.25$ · invest 9.37$
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested), Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear); AWP | Green Energy: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 1; M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162258 instead of 0.164855
Craft 3154597 · The Boreal Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 3.21$ · invest 9.72$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear); AWP | Green Energy: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 1; M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162824 instead of 0.164855
Craft 3154992 · The Boreal Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.89$ · invest 9.52$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear); AWP | Green Energy: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162515 instead of 0.164855

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build