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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −8 215.42₽

Invest at least 17 115.93₽

Average return 8 900.51₽

ROI −48.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 17 115.93 ₽, profit at most −8 215.42 ₽

float premium: at least 9 808 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 795.12 ₽

at 1 795.12

Steam

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

4 364.96 ₽

at 545.62

Steam

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

895.01 ₽

at 895.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 055.09 ₽ +1 845.42 (+26.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 408 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

1 749.63 ₽

at 1 749.63

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

5 385.36 ₽

at 1 795.12

Steam

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

3 273.72 ₽

at 545.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 408.71 ₽ +633.23 (+6.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 659 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

3 499.26 ₽

at 1 749.63

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

5 385.36 ₽

at 1 795.12

Steam

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

2 728.10 ₽

at 545.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 612.72 ₽ +143.04 (+1.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 795.12 ₽

at 1 795.12

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 933.79 ₽

at 1 933.79

Steam

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

4 364.96 ₽

at 545.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 093.87 ₽ +1 520.45 (+18.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 493.14 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 336.26 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

17 487.77 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137999

17 759.31 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +830.39 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 578.94 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3164309 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 951.46₽ · invest 6 409.35₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164697; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075112
Craft 3164916 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 918.30₽ · invest 6 539.30₽
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161706 instead of 0.164697; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074071 instead of 0.075112
Craft 3164975 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 886.88₽ · invest 6 216.20₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164697; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075112
Craft 3164429 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 868.10₽ · invest 5 984.10₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3160982 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1 848.53₽ · invest 6 531.93₽
rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162694 instead of 0.164697; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074415 instead of 0.075112
Craft 3164596 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1 822.56₽ · invest 6 355.63₽
rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163885 instead of 0.164697; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074829 instead of 0.075112

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build