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The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −8 062.30₸

Invest at least 18 725.17₸

Average return 10 662.81₸

ROI −43.1%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 18 725.17 ₸, profit at most −8 062.30 ₸

float premium: at least 10 388 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2 866.81 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1 314.62 ₸

at 1 314.62

Steam

×7

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4 008.64 ₸

at 572.66

Steam

×2

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2 562.70 ₸

at 1 281.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 885.95 ₸ +2 776.86 (+35.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

9 202.32 ₸

at 1 314.62

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

1 499.23 ₸

at 1 499.23

Steam

×2

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

1 145.32 ₸

at 572.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 846.87 ₸ +970.61 (+8.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

3 943.85 ₸

at 1 314.62

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

2 998.46 ₸

at 1 499.23

Steam

×5

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

2 863.31 ₸

at 572.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 805.62 ₸ +2 088.42 (+21.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

in profit

AK-47 | The Outsiders

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 159.88 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

7 864.83 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

4 700.14 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.023333

11 866.08 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

8 684.92 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

25 793.11 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +413.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 120.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3170007 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3 001.23₸ · invest 7 701.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3170178 · The Gallery Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 2 990.55₸ · invest 8 122.27₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build