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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −292.14₴

Invest at least 1 121.54₴

Average return 829.41₴

ROI −26.1%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 121.54 ₴, profit at most −292.14 ₴

float premium: at least 644 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +549.83 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

116.42 ₴

at 29.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

88.86 ₴

at 44.43

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

274.77 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 480.05 ₴ +349.36 (+72.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

145.53 ₴

at 29.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

88.86 ₴

at 44.43

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

206.08 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 440.46 ₴ +276.97 (+62.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

21.54 ₴

at 21.54

Steam

×5

Negev | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

145.53 ₴

at 29.11

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

88.86 ₴

at 44.43

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

137.39 ₴

at 68.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 393.31 ₴ +212.15 (+53.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

405.84 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 932.78 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 299.15 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

237.85 ₴ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

144.63 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.33 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

142.49 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

135.30 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +180.58 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +273.29 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3174529 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 425.12₴ · invest 520.04₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3161526 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 394.97₴ · invest 533.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3181188 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 381.57₴ · invest 507.50₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear), Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074564 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3174530 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 375.27₴ · invest 503.24₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3160792 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 353.85₴ · invest 447.48₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165407 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075359 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3179838 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 349.84₴ · invest 449.48₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074109 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178619 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 348.20₴ · invest 467.11₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167853 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076209 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178101 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 339.03₴ · invest 430.62₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178102 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 338.00₴ · invest 417.44₴
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162964 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3156446 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 331.08₴ · invest 464.91₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; CZ75-Auto | Tigris: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003674; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075463 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178103 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 327.88₴ · invest 406.35₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074199

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build