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The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −33 849.12₸

Invest at least 104 169.47₸

Average return 70 320.35₸

ROI −32.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 104 169.47 ₸, profit at most −33 849.12 ₸

float premium: at least 57 466 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +42 022.38 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

26 999.28 ₸

at 4 499.88

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

10 369.80 ₸

at 3 456.60

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

6 002.56 ₸

at 6 002.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43 371.64 ₸ +26 948.72 (+62.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 997 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

17 999.52 ₸

at 4 499.88

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1778

3 456.60 ₸

at 3 456.60

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

30 012.78 ₸

at 6 002.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51 468.90 ₸ +33 212.60 (+64.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Nostalgia

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

7 418.07 ₸

at 2 472.69

Steam

×6

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

26 999.28 ₸

at 4 499.88

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1768

3 456.60 ₸

at 3 456.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37 873.95 ₸ +10 904.71 (+28.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

22 499.40 ₸

at 4 499.88

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1720

6 913.20 ₸

at 3 456.60

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

18 007.67 ₸

at 6 002.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47 420.27 ₸ +30 080.63 (+63.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AWP | Wildfire

Factory New

float up to 0.058299

68 589.95 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

27 085.62 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134 970.50 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

125 858.13 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 792.32 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21 979.48 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3175797 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 32 665.77₸ · invest 41 939.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.193972 instead of 0.167653; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074082 instead of 0.076140
Craft 3169092 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 26 539.39₸ · invest 34 881.83₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166579 instead of 0.167653; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075766 instead of 0.076140
Craft 3180001 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 25 379.49₸ · invest 40 718.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163095 instead of 0.167653; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074555 instead of 0.076140

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build