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The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −151.41₴

Invest at least 400.15₴

Average return 248.74₴

ROI −37.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 400.15 ₴, profit at most −151.41 ₴

float premium: at least 224 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +179.27 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

8.24 ₴

at 8.24

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

101.52 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

55.87 ₴

at 27.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.63 ₴ +83.11 (+50.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

87.02 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

83.80 ₴

at 27.93

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

45.99 ₴

at 45.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.81 ₴ +123.01 (+56.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

72.52 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

83.80 ₴

at 27.93

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

91.98 ₴

at 45.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.30 ₴ +137.06 (+55.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −77 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

14.50 ₴

at 14.50

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

189.77 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

183.96 ₴

at 45.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.23 ₴ +179.27 (+46.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

94.13 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

170.20 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

341.10 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

206.49 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

94.70 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

271.74 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 307.85 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

708.88 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

531.52 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +47.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3165570 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 79.85₴ · invest 143.43₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178599 instead of 0.163728

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build