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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.69$

Invest 5.55$

Average return 11.24$

ROI +102.7%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 13.89 $, profit at most −2.65 $

float premium: at least 8 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

4.07 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1.47 $

at 1.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.55 $ +5.69 (+102.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 78%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 20%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.95 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.63 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.17 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.01 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.68 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

6.22 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.26 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

24.75 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

6.73 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

2.31 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.67 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.53 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3164960 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.17$ · invest 6.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076420 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3164435 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 5.79$ · invest 6.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3156677 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5.68$ · invest 5.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build