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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +14.80₽

Invest 169.33₽

Average return 184.13₽

ROI +8.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 401.32 ₽, profit at most −217.19 ₽

float premium: at least 226 ₽

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

61.50 ₽

at 12.30

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

80.52 ₽

at 20.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

27.31 ₽

at 27.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 169.33 ₽ +14.80 (+8.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

49.20 ₽

at 12.30

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

80.52 ₽

at 20.13

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

54.62 ₽

at 27.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.34 ₽ +8.49 (+4.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

36.90 ₽

at 12.30

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

80.52 ₽

at 20.13

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

81.93 ₽

at 27.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.35 ₽ +2.17 (+1.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

244.51 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

150.03 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

367.81 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

82.98 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

163.44 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

158.44 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

149.07 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197599

799.25 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

212.36 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.333799

189.53 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.16 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.14 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3164584 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 13.76₽ · invest 182.24₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500801 instead of 0.515165; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171244 instead of 0.177251

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build