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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +17.21₴

Invest 217.46₴

Average return 234.67₴

ROI +7.9%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 518.02 ₴, profit at most −283.35 ₴

float premium: at least 295 ₴

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

34.93 ₴

at 34.93

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

78.80 ₴

at 19.70

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

103.73 ₴

at 20.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.46 ₴ +17.21 (+7.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3860

34.93 ₴

at 34.93

Steam

×7

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

285.24 ₴

at 40.75

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

39.40 ₴

at 19.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 359.57 ₴ +53.78 (+15.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

139.72 ₴

at 34.93

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

219.99 ₴

at 44.00

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

19.70 ₴

at 19.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.41 ₴ +59.45 (+15.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 30%

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

293.98 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145999

253.00 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

174.59 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

213.06 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

1 163.87 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

225.23 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14.40 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build