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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +17.03$

Invest 23.29$

Average return 40.32$

ROI +73.1%

Chance of profit 67%

With float: invest at least 56.61 $, profit at most −16.30 $

float premium: at least 33 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +19.08 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1.85 $

at 1.85

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

16.18 $

at 2.31

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1.84 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

3.42 $

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.29 $ +17.03 (+73.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

2.31 $

at 2.31

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

3.68 $

at 1.84

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

23.91 $

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.90 $ +0.51 (+1.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

4.62 $

at 2.31

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

3.68 $

at 1.84

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

20.49 $

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.80 $ +3.03 (+10.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1.85 $

at 1.85

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

11.56 $

at 2.31

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1.84 $

at 1.84

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

10.25 $

at 3.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.49 $ +11.99 (+47.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 33%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48.04 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.49 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75.33 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

45.64 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

28.33 $ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

26.07 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.85 → 3.99 $

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 7 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 16.18 → 41.27 $

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.84 → 3.97 $

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3.42 → 7.38 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.022399, 0.069999, 0.034999, 0.052499, 0.048999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3158678 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 15.98$ · invest 19.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161807 instead of 0.161559; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161807 instead of 0.161559

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build