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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.14$

Invest 8.86$

Average return 9.99$

ROI +12.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 21.67 $, profit at most −11.68 $

float premium: at least 12 $

To build: no data

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

1.55 $

at 0.77

Steam

×7

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

6.33 $

at 0.90

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

0.98 $

at 0.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.86 $ +1.14 (+12.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 67%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

4.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.068571

25.82 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

5.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.83 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

9.89 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171428

6.18 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3159792 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.16$ · invest 9.27$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388042 instead of 0.386464; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176426 instead of 0.171240
Craft 3167222 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1.12$ · invest 9.38$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388042 instead of 0.386464; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176426 instead of 0.171240
Craft 3166614 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1.09$ · invest 9.22$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388042 instead of 0.386464; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176426 instead of 0.171240
Craft 3167241 · The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1.09$ · invest 10.38$
rare inputs

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384183 instead of 0.386464; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163745 instead of 0.171240

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build