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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −63.14$

Invest at least 607.13$

Average return 543.99$

ROI −10.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 607.13 $, profit at most −63.14 $

float premium: at least 287 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +316.54 $ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −54.58 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

35.13 $

at 17.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

19.61 $

at 19.61

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

191.03 $

at 27.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 245.77 $ +298.22 (+121.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −117 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

122.97 $

at 17.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

27.52 $

at 27.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

54.58 $

at 27.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205.06 $ +170.66 (+83.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −151 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

140.53 $

at 17.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

27.52 $

at 27.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

27.29 $

at 27.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 195.34 $ +152.34 (+78.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

899.98 $ 40.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

365.90 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

470.10 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

265.05 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +235.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +294.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3159592 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 301.76$ · invest 242.64$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161553 instead of 0.162033; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074018 instead of 0.074185
Craft 3179166 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 275.86$ · invest 245.45$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3166109 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 273.11$ · invest 226.37$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3182058 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 269.96$ · invest 231.77$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162863 instead of 0.162033; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074474 instead of 0.074185
Craft 3157611 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 258.06$ · invest 217.06$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163884 instead of 0.162033; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074829 instead of 0.074185

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build