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The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −107.49₽

Invest at least 223.61₽

Average return 116.12₽

ROI −48.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 223.61 ₽, profit at most −107.49 ₽

float premium: at least 64 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +32.73 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0829

64.17 ₽

at 7.13

Steam

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1871

25.39 ₽

at 25.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89.56 ₽ +26.56 (+29.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

35.65 ₽

at 7.13

Steam

×3

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

76.17 ₽

at 25.39

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0026

98.68 ₽

at 49.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 210.50 ₽ +3.34 (+1.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

152.41 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074572

75.44 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

82.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088717

78.72 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

138.65 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079333

342.65 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076533

333.72 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

482.77 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.81 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.78 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3167896 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 28.64₽ · invest 90.10₽
Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084009 instead of 0.082912
Craft 3167757 · The Fever Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 27.96₽ · invest 101.21₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080932 instead of 0.082912
Craft 3168130 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 27.93₽ · invest 83.97₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084491 instead of 0.082912
Craft 3168314 · The Fever Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 27.86₽ · invest 88.15₽
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081880 instead of 0.082912
Craft 3155852 · The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 27.73₽ · invest 99.05₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079645 instead of 0.082912
Craft 3153232 · The Ascent Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 27.31₽ · invest 80.54₽
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Tosai: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.095237 instead of 0.082912
Craft 3167481 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 26.84₽ · invest 98.10₽
P90 | Grim (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074653 instead of 0.082912

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build