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The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +335.21₽

Invest 424.80₽

Average return 760.01₽

ROI +78.9%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 986.70 ₽, profit at most −226.69 ₽

float premium: at least 570 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

134.00 ₽

at 67.00

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

158.80 ₽

at 31.76

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

132.00 ₽

at 44.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 424.80 ₽ +335.21 (+78.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

67.00 ₽

at 67.00

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

222.32 ₽

at 31.76

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

158.76 ₽

at 79.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 448.08 ₽ +332.79 (+74.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

174.40 ₽

at 34.88

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

268.00 ₽

at 67.00

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

31.76 ₽

at 31.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 474.16 ₽ +139.81 (+29.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

34.88 ₽

at 34.88

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

201.00 ₽

at 67.00

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

190.56 ₽

at 31.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 426.44 ₽ +291.84 (+68.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 130.94 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

566.56 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

444.54 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

545.93 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

714.14 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

650.00 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +210.22 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +299.71 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3174362 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 370.92₽ · invest 433.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3181225 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 365.17₽ · invest 366.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3157362 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 354.00₽ · invest 369.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3177961 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 347.17₽ · invest 389.48₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3178883 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 344.76₽ · invest 362.44₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3161403 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 343.51₽ · invest 445.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3171478 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 340.97₽ · invest 371.20₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3162397 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 327.28₽ · invest 347.96₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3181252 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 325.03₽ · invest 356.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3181287 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 313.12₽ · invest 382.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3167104 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 312.52₽ · invest 439.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3156318 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 302.04₽ · invest 396.64₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3169991 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 299.94₽ · invest 400.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3160564 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 295.44₽ · invest 346.85₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3144325 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 286.07₽ · invest 415.37₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.088909 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080314 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3181227 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 278.29₽ · invest 353.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build