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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +76.05₽

Invest 265.50₽

Average return 341.55₽

ROI +28.6%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 620.52 ₽, profit at most −278.97 ₽

float premium: at least 331 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +79.98 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

142.20 ₽

at 35.55

Steam

×4

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

75.64 ₽

at 18.91

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

47.66 ₽

at 23.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.50 ₽ +76.05 (+28.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

16.96 ₽

at 16.96

Steam

×6

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

209.28 ₽

at 34.88

Steam

×3

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

56.73 ₽

at 18.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.97 ₽ +45.59 (+16.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

51.18 ₽

at 17.06

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

213.30 ₽

at 35.55

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

23.83 ₽

at 23.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 288.31 ₽ +31.59 (+11.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

34.88 ₽

at 34.88

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

67.00 ₽

at 67.00

Steam

×3

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

56.73 ₽

at 18.91

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

119.15 ₽

at 23.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 277.76 ₽ +72.45 (+26.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

104.64 ₽

at 34.88

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

18.91 ₽

at 18.91

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

142.98 ₽

at 23.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.53 ₽ +79.35 (+29.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

410.00 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

315.81 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

409.99 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

598.99 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200999

229.12 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38.54 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.51 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3144403 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 86.05₽ · invest 312.67₽
pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173052 instead of 0.161844; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171800 instead of 0.161844
Craft 3149619 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 80.09₽ · invest 243.46₽
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162992 instead of 0.161844; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162992 instead of 0.161844
Craft 3179820 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 77.47₽ · invest 269.97₽
MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161682 instead of 0.161844; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161682 instead of 0.161844
Craft 3178083 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 73.33₽ · invest 259.55₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161622 instead of 0.161844; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161622 instead of 0.161844

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build