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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +9.43$

Invest 11.54$

Average return 20.96$

ROI +81.8%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 26.97 $, profit at most −6.01 $

float premium: at least 15 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.58 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

3.47 $

at 0.87

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

1.97 $

at 0.99

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

6.09 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.54 $ +9.43 (+81.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.59 $

at 0.53

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5.20 $

at 0.87

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

0.99 $

at 0.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.78 $ +3.98 (+51.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.64 $

at 0.64

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

0.87 $

at 0.87

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.99 $

at 0.99

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

10.67 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.16 $ +11.49 (+87.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

9.00 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

87.23 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

28.82 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.28 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7.64 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.50 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.63 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

11.01 $ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.22 $ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.16 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3161526 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.76$ · invest 11.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3181188 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.46$ · invest 11.26$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear), Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074564 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3174530 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.32$ · invest 11.16$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested) instead of nothing; Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; CZ75-Auto | Eco: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Nova | Toy Soldier: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.003674; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3160792 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.85$ · invest 9.93$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165407 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075359 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3179838 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.76$ · invest 9.97$
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074109 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3156445 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.75$ · invest 10.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3178619 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.72$ · invest 10.36$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167853 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076209 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178101 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.52$ · invest 9.55$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178102 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.50$ · invest 9.26$
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162964 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3156446 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.34$ · invest 10.31$
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075463 instead of 0.074199
Craft 3178103 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.27$ · invest 9.01$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.162072; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074199

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build