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The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −501.17₽

Invest at least 1 983.60₽

Average return 1 482.43₽

ROI −25.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 983.60 ₽, profit at most −501.17 ₽

float premium: at least 1 138 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +990.81 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

188.16 ₽

at 47.04

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

161.56 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

499.60 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 849.32 ₽ +633.11 (+74.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

141.12 ₽

at 47.04

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

161.56 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

624.50 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 927.18 ₽ +752.34 (+81.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

94.08 ₽

at 47.04

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

161.56 ₽

at 80.78

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

749.40 ₽

at 124.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 005.04 ₽ +871.58 (+86.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

737.92 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 150.71 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 362.15 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

194.94 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178749

244.82 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

211.63 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143749

508.73 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.033249

414.18 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +331.09 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +497.76 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3174529 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 772.97₽ · invest 945.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3161526 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 718.15₽ · invest 970.60₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3181188 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 693.77₽ · invest 922.75₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear), Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074564 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3174530 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 682.33₽ · invest 915.00₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3160792 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 643.39₽ · invest 813.63₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165407 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075359 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3179838 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 636.08₽ · invest 817.26₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074109 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3156445 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 635.22₽ · invest 872.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3178101 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 616.43₽ · invest 782.96₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3178102 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 614.56₽ · invest 759.01₽
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162964 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3156446 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 601.97₽ · invest 845.32₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075463 instead of 0.076209
Craft 3178103 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 596.16₽ · invest 738.84₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.167853; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.076209

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build