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The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +110.07$

Invest 119.74$

Average return 229.81$

ROI +91.9%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 277.17 $, profit at most −47.35 $

float premium: at least 153 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +139.10 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

36.81 $

at 9.20

Steam

×4

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

44.12 $

at 11.03

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

38.81 $

at 19.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 119.74 $ +110.07 (+91.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

46.01 $

at 9.20

Steam

×4

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

44.12 $

at 11.03

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

19.40 $

at 19.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.54 $ +94.82 (+86.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

41.29 $

at 5.90

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

18.40 $

at 9.20

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

11.03 $

at 11.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.72 $ +31.79 (+45.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

29.49 $

at 5.90

Steam

×3

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

27.61 $

at 9.20

Steam

×2

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

22.06 $

at 11.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.16 $ +48.82 (+61.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.69 $

at 5.90

Steam

×4

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

36.81 $

at 9.20

Steam

×3

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

33.09 $

at 11.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.59 $ +65.84 (+75.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

517.47 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

245.33 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

67.90 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

109.32 $ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.78 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +83.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3171723 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 126.32$ · invest 140.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161824 instead of 0.162962; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074112 instead of 0.074508
Craft 3162697 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 113.44$ · invest 116.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162717 instead of 0.162962; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074423 instead of 0.074508
Craft 3157607 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 113.03$ · invest 123.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162469 instead of 0.162962; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074337 instead of 0.074508
Craft 3169344 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 112.42$ · invest 110.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162122 instead of 0.162962; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074216 instead of 0.074508
Craft 3180632 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 99.35$ · invest 109.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161673 instead of 0.162962; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074060 instead of 0.074508
Craft 3170355 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 95.23$ · invest 152.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear), P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162290 instead of 0.162962; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074274 instead of 0.074508

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build