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The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.80$

Invest at least 16.02$

Average return 13.22$

ROI −17.5%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 16.02 $, profit at most −2.80 $

float premium: at least 9 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.57 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

3.54 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

1.97 $

at 0.99

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1.22 $

at 1.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.73 $ +6.49 (+96.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

2.53 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.97 $

at 0.99

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4.57 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.07 $ +8.47 (+93.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.14 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.45 $ +10.41 (+90.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Yorick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.79 $

at 0.45

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Outbreak

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

2.53 $

at 0.51

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.11 $ +3.79 (+74.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 43%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.89 $ 11.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Retrobution

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.39 $ 11.67%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Power Loader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.56 $ 11.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Tiger Moth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.12 $ 11.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Avalanche

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10.98 $ 11.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Teclu Burner

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

4.62 $ 11.67%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

9.00 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

87.23 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

28.82 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.28 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.93 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolver Case Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3181793 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.93$ · invest 6.41$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)
Craft 3157530 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.46$ · invest 6.56$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164611 instead of 0.163365; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075082 instead of 0.074648
Craft 3144414 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.38$ · invest 8.57$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176648 instead of 0.163365; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087167 instead of 0.074648
Craft 3179060 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.06$ · invest 6.25$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164425 instead of 0.163365; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075017 instead of 0.074648
Craft 3171637 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4.90$ · invest 6.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build