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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.82$

Invest 4.67$

Average return 8.49$

ROI +81.8%

Chance of profit 84%

With float: invest at least 10.90 $, profit at most −2.41 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.95 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.94 $

at 0.39

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.61 $

at 0.54

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1.12 $

at 0.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.67 $ +3.82 (+81.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

2.71 $

at 0.39

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1.94 $

at 0.97

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Zander

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.54 $

at 0.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.19 $ +3.95 (+76.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.48 $

at 0.24

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.77 $

at 0.39

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Zander

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.62 $

at 0.54

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1.68 $

at 0.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.56 $ +1.34 (+29.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 16%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

26.00 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.91 $ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.42 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

6.66 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

6.71 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

2.60 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Last Dive

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

2.76 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Scaffold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.60 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Seasons

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.46 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3174362 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.52$ · invest 5.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3181225 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.45$ · invest 4.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3157362 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.32$ · invest 4.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3177961 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.24$ · invest 4.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3178883 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.21$ · invest 4.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3161403 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.19$ · invest 5.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3171478 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.16$ · invest 4.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3173791 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.09$ · invest 5.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3162397 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.99$ · invest 4.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3181252 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.97$ · invest 4.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3167104 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.81$ · invest 5.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3156318 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.68$ · invest 4.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)
Craft 3169991 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.66$ · invest 4.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3160564 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.60$ · invest 4.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3144325 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.49$ · invest 5.07$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.088909 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3181227 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.39$ · invest 4.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build