The Snakebite Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −309.20$

Invest at least 994.39$

Average return 685.19$

ROI −31.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 994.39 $, profit at most −309.20 $

float premium: at least 519 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −88 $

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −72.94 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0104

350.38 $

at 87.59

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0104

76.73 $

at 76.73

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 427.11 $ +258.07 (+60.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 11.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

262.78 $

at 87.59

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

153.47 $

at 76.73

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 416.25 $ +196.38 (+47.2%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 15.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −231 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

175.19 $

at 87.59

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

230.20 $

at 76.73

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 405.39 $ +134.68 (+33.2%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 19.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −303 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

87.59 $

at 87.59

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

306.93 $

at 76.73

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 394.53 $ +72.98 (+18.5%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 31%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

268.35 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

975.96 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258.24 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

329.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

897.13 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.19 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385.13 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 045.83 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 742.93 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

513.20 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 114.76 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 084.03 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

720.10 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 422.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

955.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

957.89 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 600.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.05 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 346.24 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.12 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

280.58 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

388.97 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

627.65 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

520.64 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

617.14 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

390.39 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 156.87 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 394.44 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

393.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

134.72 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +227.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +252.17 $ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3184615 · The Vanguard Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 267.32$ · invest 450.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010039 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184617 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 267.32$ · invest 450.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010039 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184421 · The Snakebite Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 266.29$ · invest 451.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009565 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184423 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 266.29$ · invest 451.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009565 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184267 · The Huntsman Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 258.07$ · invest 427.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −88 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3184623 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 252.82$ · invest 464.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −71 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008933 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184625 · The Snakebite Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 252.82$ · invest 464.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −71 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008933 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184561 · The Snakebite Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 248.35$ · invest 469.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008933 instead of 0.010407
Craft 3184563 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 248.35$ · invest 469.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008933 instead of 0.010407

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build