The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −4 399.29₴

Invest 15 392.75₴

Average return 10 993.46₴

ROI −28.6%

Chance of profit 21%

With float: invest at least 34 007.85 ₴, profit at most −23 014.39 ₴

float premium: at least 18 571 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: −4 045.76 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −4 490.49 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

3 142.57 ₴

at 3 142.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

4 655.07 ₴

at 4 655.07

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0870

7 595.11 ₴

at 2 531.70

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 392.75 ₴ −4 399.29 (−28.6%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 070.42 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

31 326.12 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12 964.39 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 805.94 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 691.85 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 269.83 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 049.54 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 155.19 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 833.67 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 074.93 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 274.76 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

7 000.08 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

9 825.37 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 357.74 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 664.42 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 983.11 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 716.54 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 318.90 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 954.72 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 410.23 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 016.72 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 594.67 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 006.39 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

27 381.52 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

26 154.36 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

17 280.10 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 991.38 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

24 749.33 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 276.97 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 469.70 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

24 016.65 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 479.78 ₴ 0.77%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 144.86 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 642.68 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

19 249.47 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 605.25 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

15 186.70 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 371.51 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 682.55 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 963.06 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 189.10 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 070.82 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

14 905.30 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 427.38 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 110.51 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 590.82 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 854.76 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

54 112.85 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

44 868.21 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

30 372.84 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

28 521.65 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

62 229.07 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 783.37 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 810.42 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

45 098.78 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

20 738.88 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 893.07 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81 168.49 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

22 314.45 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

3 959.62 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 310.60 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

9 615.64 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

16 827.05 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 142.57 → 6 787.95 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 655.07 → 10 054.96 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 21% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 7 595.11 → 17 164.94 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 632.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 496.48 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build