The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −12 532.14₴

Invest 21 521.14₴

Average return 8 989.00₴

ROI −58.2%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest 21 521.14 ₴, profit −12 532.14 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 9.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −14 814.67 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

any lot

9 065.20 ₴

at 3 021.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

any lot

5 923.21 ₴

at 5 923.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Battle-Scarred

any lot

6 020.64 ₴

at 6 020.64

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 21 009.05 ₴ −12 020.05 (−57.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 77%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 10%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075259

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.245185

12 149.13 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

8 199.53 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

4 564.00 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

9 616.35 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

3 783.86 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

4 305.44 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

8 252.61 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

6 204.75 ₴ 4.62%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

3 719.08 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

3 794.90 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756148

3 376.07 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 285.40 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075259

33 022.89 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451555

7 982.01 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611481

14 849.60 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

11 642.68 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799629

11 772.77 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470370

8 631.54 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075259

28 631.46 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451555

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611481

7 483.94 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

6 985.02 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799629

8 970.01 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470370

6 599.82 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075259

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451555

3 574.90 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611481

4 949.86 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

2 723.20 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799629

4 222.56 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470370

2 582.51 ₴ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075259

75 531.40 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451555

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611481

24 703.75 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

41 509.05 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799629

31 610.57 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470370

26 000.03 ₴ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075259

not on Steam: above the cap 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.451555

25 002.43 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.611481

20 103.05 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.940740

25 450.97 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799629

37 428.19 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.470370

17 766.65 ₴ 1.33%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.04 9 065.20 → 9 429.62 ₴

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.02 5 923.21 → 6 061.82 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 6 020.64 → 6 030.27 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.940740741

outcomes come out up to 0.075259, 0.245185, 0.940740, 0.940740, 0.940740, 0.756148, 0.756148, 0.756148, 0.756148, 0.756148, 0.756148, 0.756148, 0.000000, 0.075259, 0.451555, 0.611481, 0.940740, 0.799629, 0.470370, 0.075259, 0.451555, 0.611481, 0.940740, 0.799629, 0.470370, 0.075259, 0.451555, 0.611481, 0.940740, 0.799629, 0.470370, 0.075259, 0.451555, 0.611481, 0.940740, 0.799629, 0.470370, 0.075259, 0.451555, 0.611481, 0.940740, 0.799629, 0.470370

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12 563.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 113.83 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build