The Wildfire Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −3 790.96₴

Invest 12 504.46₴

Average return 8 713.50₴

ROI −30.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 28 006.90 ₴, profit at most −19 293.40 ₴

float premium: at least 15 686 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: −3 659.56 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

5 063.40 ₴

at 2 531.70

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

7 441.05 ₴

at 2 480.35

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 12 504.46 ₴ −3 790.96 (−30.3%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 74%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 070.42 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

31 326.12 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12 964.39 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 805.94 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 691.85 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 269.83 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 049.54 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 155.19 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 833.67 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 074.93 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 274.76 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

9 466.07 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

9 075.07 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 141.16 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 226.70 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 252.61 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 000.36 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 851.82 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 249.23 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 991.65 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 157.08 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 699.56 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 234.33 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

9 112.14 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

9 019.06 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 828.03 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

3 889.32 ₴ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

7 237.14 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 060.95 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 478.66 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 744.76 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 998.22 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 431.10 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 459.75 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 734.82 ₴ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

16 087.91 ₴ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

14 253.53 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12 649.66 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 164.70 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

17 135.81 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 024.50 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 503.08 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 654.00 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 778.63 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 945.02 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 833.67 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 088.08 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

30 957.02 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

27 056.68 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

22 084.03 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

13 446.71 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

24 274.44 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 824.85 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 548.68 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

35 434.49 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 925.04 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 875.75 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 364.07 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 297.97 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 990.15 ₴ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

3 036.41 ₴ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 741.48 ₴ 1.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 751.65 ₴ 1.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 5 063.40 → 11 190.12 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) × 3 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 7 441.05 → 16 816.77 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 909.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 010.01 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build