The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −6 633.58₴

Invest 17 790.72₴

Average return 11 157.14₴

ROI −37.3%

Chance of profit 19%

With float: invest 18 977.68 ₴, profit −7 820.55 ₴

float premium: 730 ₴ (4.0%)

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 945.51 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈54% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3238

6 452.96 ₴

at 2 150.99

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3238

5 553.45 ₴

at 5 553.45

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution

Battle-Scarred

any lot

5 784.31 ₴

at 5 784.31

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 790.72 ₴ −6 633.58 (−37.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

≈68% of lots fit ≈ enough for 6 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3418

4 301.97 ₴

at 2 150.99

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3418

11 106.90 ₴

at 5 553.45

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution

Battle-Scarred

any lot

5 784.31 ₴

at 5 784.31

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 21 193.19 ₴ −7 056.07 (−33.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 19%
Losing outcome 72%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.046769

13 070.42 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.156153

11 408.66 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

8 319.88 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

6 221.52 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

9 900.39 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

3 467.78 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

9 019.06 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

3 382.15 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

2 368.69 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.492615

3 783.86 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 274.76 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046769

33 022.89 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.280615

11 384.69 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

14 849.60 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

11 642.68 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.496922

11 772.77 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292307

8 631.54 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046769

29 085.87 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.280615

7 340.12 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

10 674.07 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

6 985.02 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.496922

8 970.01 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292307

8 018.77 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046769

11 642.68 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.280615

3 574.90 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 949.86 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

2 723.20 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.496922

4 222.56 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292307

2 582.51 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046769

75 531.40 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.280615

40 104.55 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

42 718.97 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

41 509.05 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.496922

31 610.57 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292307

36 194.17 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.046769

75 259.83 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.280615

26 470.96 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

35 180.68 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.584615

25 450.97 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.496922

37 428.19 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.292307

22 728.84 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 3 76% of the wear range fits ×1.10 6 452.96 → 7 103.42 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) × 1 76% of the wear range fits ×1.02 5 553.45 → 5 682.29 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.07 5 784.31 → 6 192.11 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.584615285

outcomes come out up to 0.046769, 0.156153, 0.584615, 0.584615, 0.584615, 0.492615, 0.492615, 0.492615, 0.492615, 0.492615, 0.492615, 0.492615, 0.000000, 0.046769, 0.280615, 0.379999, 0.584615, 0.496922, 0.292307, 0.046769, 0.280615, 0.379999, 0.584615, 0.496922, 0.292307, 0.046769, 0.280615, 0.379999, 0.584615, 0.496922, 0.292307, 0.046769, 0.280615, 0.379999, 0.584615, 0.496922, 0.292307, 0.046769, 0.280615, 0.379999, 0.584615, 0.496922, 0.292307

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 944.54 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 917.19 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build