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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit · by float −98.87₸ by average prices it would be +133.45

Invest 845.59₸

Average return 746.72₸

ROI −11.7% market check 22.10 14:45 MSK

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest 745.57 ₸, profit +1.15 ₸

float premium: 8 ₸ (1.1%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +322.83 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 26 contracts · easy (estimate)

×4

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0424

308.60 ₸

at 77.15

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1184

53.84 ₸

at 26.92

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0424

250.82 ₸

at 62.71

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 613.26 ₸ +133.45 (+21.8%)

≈40% of lots fit ≈ enough for 99 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0566

77.15 ₸

at 77.15

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1347

38.58 ₸

at 38.58

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0566

509.08 ₸

at 63.64

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 624.81 ₸ +75.56 (+12.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 25%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

600.73 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

699.88 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 278.62 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

571.40 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

735.55 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1 511.54 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

667.32 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

946.60 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Factory New) × 4 61% of the wear range fits ×1.20 308.60 → 369.30 ₸

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) × 2 61% of the wear range fits ×1.32 53.84 → 71.13 ₸

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) × 4 61% of the wear range fits ×1.22 250.82 → 305.10 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.058333, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.054833, 0.055999, 0.058333, 0.058333, 0.058333

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −15.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63.80 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build