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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +69.40₴

Invest 262.41₴

Average return 331.81₴

ROI +26.4%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 610.52 ₴, profit at most −278.71 ₴

float premium: at least 321 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

169.40 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×9

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

93.01 ₴

at 10.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.41 ₴ +69.40 (+26.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

127.48 ₴

at 127.48

Steam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

169.40 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×7

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

72.34 ₴

at 10.33

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

34.49 ₴

at 34.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 403.71 ₴ +53.92 (+13.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

127.48 ₴

at 127.48

Steam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

338.80 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×7

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

72.34 ₴

at 10.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 538.62 ₴ +44.82 (+8.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −173 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

254.96 ₴

at 127.48

Steam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

338.80 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×5

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

51.67 ₴

at 10.33

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

34.49 ₴

at 34.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 679.93 ₴ +29.33 (+4.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −233 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

254.96 ₴

at 127.48

Steam

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

508.20 ₴

at 169.40

souvenirSteam

×5

M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

51.67 ₴

at 10.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 814.84 ₴ +20.23 (+2.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

268.31 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194.80 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328.62 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

208.15 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

184.61 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 431.72 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 873.19 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 746.40 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.34 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +60.43 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build