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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −528.73₸

Invest at least 1 381.26₸

Average return 852.54₸

ROI −38.3%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 1 381.26 ₸, profit at most −528.73 ₸

float premium: at least 730 ₸

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +557.07 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×8

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

501.64 ₸

at 62.71

souvenirSteam

×2

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

37.10 ₸

at 18.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 538.74 ₸ +313.80 (+58.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0009

188.12 ₸

at 62.71

souvenirSteam

×5

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

92.74 ₸

at 18.55

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Waves Perforated

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0604

561.61 ₸

at 280.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 842.47 ₸ +429.09 (+50.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 20%

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

600.73 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

699.88 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

1 278.62 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

571.40 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 856.31 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

100.73 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 780.58 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 718.70 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

300.94 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 only The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +125.63 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +221.16 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3201563 · The Ascent Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 365.66₸ · invest 170.55₸
rare inputs

P250 | Plum Netting (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080866 instead of 0.079910
Craft 3202783 · The Boreal Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 359.56₸ · invest 170.55₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080866 instead of 0.079910
Craft 3193202 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 335.07₸ · invest 206.94₸
rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New), UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080866 instead of 0.079910

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build