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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +296.76₽

Invest 372.54₽

Average return 669.30₽

ROI +79.7%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 889.12 ₽, profit at most −219.82 ₽

float premium: at least 505 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

46.36 ₽

at 46.36

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

167.30 ₽

at 33.46

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

158.88 ₽

at 39.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 372.54 ₽ +296.76 (+79.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 130.94 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

206.48 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

434.55 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

532.73 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

268.41 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

233.68 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.023333

290.29 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

253.27 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +179.38 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +267.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3227724 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 322.84₽ · invest 382.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3201768 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 316.59₽ · invest 397.55₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3226002 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 314.35₽ · invest 380.73₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3229293 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 307.63₽ · invest 359.64₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3229266 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 305.67₽ · invest 363.91₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3210660 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 305.39₽ · invest 354.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075090 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075090 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3219537 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 304.75₽ · invest 366.28₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3228696 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 304.71₽ · invest 367.66₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3229329 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 298.13₽ · invest 372.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3226949 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 296.84₽ · invest 362.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.074846
Craft 3222456 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 295.72₽ · invest 407.27₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build